Assembly Election 2023: After the arrest of former Delhi Deputy CM Manish Sisodia and former minister Satyendar Jain, questions are being raised on the credibility of the Aam Aadmi Party. But to overcome this crisis, a strategy is being made by the party to create political ground in Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh. Delhi CM Arvind Kejriwal and Punjab CM Bhagwant Mann gave many signals by holding two big rallies in Jaipur and Bhopal. There is discussion in the political circles that who will suffer the most, Congress or BJP, if AAP enters the electoral fray? Or will you dent the most in the state where the party is in power? Apart from this, can you do any major political upheaval on the lines of Punjab? Understand all these points with the help of figures and experts. It is certain in these elections that the scope of AAP organization will increase further.
Will you take advantage of the conflict in Rajasthan?
In Rajasthan, CM Ashok Gehlot has claimed to return to power by announcing 19 new districts, on the basis of old pension scheme and other government schemes. But the biggest confrontation in Rajasthan is between Gehlot and Pilot. Through this confrontation, you are preparing to enter Rajasthan. It is being told that Rajasthan will also be your main focus, so that a good number of seats can be brought. Because there is no less controversy here even in BJP. You want to take advantage of this too. It will be interesting to see how much success you get in this plan. There was a slight difference in the vote share between the Congress and the BJP in the 2018 assembly elections. The gap of seats was also not much. Congress got a total of 39.30% votes, while BJP got 38.08% votes. Congress got 99 seats and BJP got 73 seats. Later, BJP lost many seats in the by-elections, due to which the number of seats of Congress increased. In a way, it was a close fight. Your presence in the fray will make the competition more interesting.
Who will be your political target in Madhya Pradesh?
In the MP 2023 assembly elections, there will once again be a direct fight between the Congress and the BJP, but the AAP entry is expected to make the contest more interesting. Surprising results can also come in many seats. The way the CMs of Delhi and Punjab targeted the Congress instead of the ruling party BJP in the Bhopal rally, it is a clear indication that AAP is preparing to make a direct dent in the vote bank of the Congress. But how successful you will be in that, it will be interesting to see. In the 2018 assembly elections, the Congress got only six more seats, while the vote percentage was less. Congress got 114 and BJP got 109 seats. Congress got 40.89% votes. Whereas BJP got 41.02% percent. Last time Jyotiraditya Scindia was with the Congress. This too had its effect. While this time he is a cabinet minister at the Center from the BJP.
How will you enter Chhattisgarh?
Chhattisgarh is considered to be the strongest fort for the Congress. Recently, the Congress held a general convention of the party in Raipur. In such a situation, how will you enter here? In the last assembly elections of 2018, the Congress had badly defeated the BJP. After coming to power, CM Bhupesh Baghel kept getting stronger. His opponent TS Singh Deo started raising his voice in the middle, but Baghel was able to defeat him with his political tactics. Here the Congress is in direct competition with the BJP. In the meanwhile, how you are able to cast your vote, it will be seen in the 2023 elections. Experts say that AAP will try to get maximum vote percentage.
Your entry in these states
– AAP got two seats in Goa
AAP got two seats in the 2022 assembly elections of Goa. Got about 6.77 percent votes. In a way, each and every state is getting involved in AAP’s expansion. Although the BJP formed the government here, but with AAP’s entry, the contest became interesting. Congress is continuously losing here.
– AAP got 3.3% votes in Uttarakhand
BJP got a big victory in the 2022 assembly elections. BJP captured the power of the state by taking 44.3% votes and 47 seats, but 10 seats less than in 2017. Congress got 37.9%, increased in 8 seats, but failed to form the government. BSP got 4.82% votes. The Aam Aadmi Party got 3.3% votes, but could not win a single seat. While all the efforts were made by the party to form the government.
– AAP dented Congress in Gujarat
Aam Aadmi Party contested elections for the first time in 2022 in Gujarat. The party got 12.92% votes. Five seats also came in the account of the party, but its biggest impact was that the Congress was reduced to just 17 seats. The vote bank of Congress also decreased. While BJP got a record 52.50%. By taking 156 seats, BJP created a new history in Gujarat.
‘You will benefit nationally’
Senior journalist Rashid Kidwai said, ‘In the last decade, AAP has emerged as an urban party. AAP has worked to harm the Congress in most of the elections, except for the Municipal Corporation of Delhi, while the BJP is getting benefits in one way or the other. In a way, AAP has finished the Congress in Delhi. Congress was thrown out of power in Punjab. Reduced the vote bank of Congress in Gujarat and Goa. Now there will be a close fight between Congress and BJP in Madhya Pradesh and Rajasthan. In such a situation, the election results will definitely be affected by the entry of the Aam Aadmi Party. But who will suffer more, BJP or Congress? This can be better understood through the previous figures. It is also certain that AAP will benefit at the national level in terms of vote percentage.’
‘Punjab-like charisma is not expected’
‘BJP is bound to suffer’
According to election analyst Yashwant Deshmukh, ‘If AAP contests elections in Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh and Rajasthan in 2023, there will be a repetition of Gujarat. This election will be just an entry for you, in which Congress can suffer the most. Because in Gujarat, it was because of AAP that BJP got record votes. It would also be wrong to say that AAP will enter these states only to cut votes, as AAP has been successful in forming government in Punjab in its second attempt. That’s why it cannot be called a vote-cutting party. As soon as the scope of AAP increases in the next one or two elections, BJP is also bound to suffer losses. Broadly speaking, this election is just a stage of expansion for AAP.